Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 4.284939 4.945822 5.674319 6.536908 7.530518 8.639377 9.971156
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 3.265020 4.097077 5.092283 6.370414 7.969066 9.903793 12.425466
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 2.706932 3.653874 4.870125 6.546994 8.800698 11.728063 15.825888
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 2.195309 3.163406 4.488710 6.435848 9.226785 13.088877 18.852210
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 1.960386 2.997009 4.500397 6.839987 10.394559 15.603221 23.839184
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 1.737067 2.803000 4.432494 7.105162 11.387588 17.999496 29.021832
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 1.507402 2.556467 4.239840 7.137813 12.014281 19.914420 33.741327
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 1.249855 2.219856 3.847976 6.779645 11.942177 20.687500 36.701220
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 1.148686 2.130030 3.847801 7.073411 12.999654 23.465597 43.455689
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 1.092272 2.109138 3.960675 7.577265 14.491957 27.190667 52.426115
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.999879 2.006107 3.907851 7.763603 15.418582 30.006313 60.102896
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.907032 1.887233 3.806521 7.838094 16.133669 32.506909 67.511415
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.785828 1.697042 3.547020 7.576378 16.176461 33.771202 72.782500
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.676897 1.515278 3.277914 7.253721 16.044687 34.664095 77.424916
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.621331 1.440007 3.220276 7.373869 16.876710 37.688659 87.136107
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.549678 1.317412 3.042247 7.200164 17.031912 39.271860 93.876157
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.528922 1.309392 3.118895 7.620679 18.609836 44.255737 109.250201
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.499757 1.276592 3.133365 7.895969 19.885597 48.724116 124.086897
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.458395 1.207081 3.050193 7.919827 20.550652 51.833849 136.054077
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.398784 1.081589 2.811427 7.515192 20.075097 52.079847 140.769937
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.382229 1.066807 2.850035 7.836148 21.529917 57.398993 159.623166
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.377127 1.082287 2.969441 8.391222 23.694403 64.867368 185.448604
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 0.356671 1.051753 2.961596 8.595625 24.927686 70.031393 205.681292